[sbe-eas] NWS forgetting the lessons of Hurricane Harvey (Houston 2017)

Aaron Read readaaron at friedbagels.com
Wed Oct 9 19:58:26 EDT 2024


One thing you always count on from a govt agency is that they will NEVER
EVER admit that they sent "too many" warnings.

Sending too many warnings, and causing people to disable the alerts, will
not result in the agency getting in trouble (or not much trouble)
regardless of how few or how many fatalities there end up being.

Sending too few warnings, however, all but guarantees the agency WILL get
blamed for each and every death that occurs, no matter how tangential to
the disaster the alert is about.

Especially now when I'm positive Florida's governor will find some way to
blame NOAA and/or FEMA just so he can score political points for his own
reelection.

This "cover your ass" mentality is hardly unique to government
agencies...but I concede few seem to do it better.  It's a shame almost
nobody with power  in DC cares to actually understand why that is and to
try to fix it.

____________________
Aaron Read
www.friedbagels.com
401-519-0230 office


On Wed, Oct 9, 2024 at 7:01 PM Sean Donelan <sean at donelan.com> wrote:

>
> NWS is now up to 133 tornado warnings in a hurricane.  Milton hasn't even
> made landfall yet.
>
> The graphic from NWS shows a lot of overlapping warning areas as the outer
> rainbands around Hurricane Milton spin through the atmosphere.
>
> https://x.com/NWSGSP/status/1844129342974009810
>
> Figuring out how to coordinate warning messages is still a challenge to
> prevent incessent public alerting.
>
> Hurricanes have flash flooding, coastal flooding, regular flooding,
> tornados, lightning and thunderstorms, high winds, storm surges. NWS
> standard templates used to give conflicting public action statements
> during the same weather event with overlapping alerts.
>
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