[sbe-eas] Warning fatigue effect - Data from Ukraine government alerts

[Barry Mishkind]

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12:18 PM 11/4/2022, Sean Donelan wrote:
>Civil Response to Government Alerts Declines During Russian Invasion of Ukraine
>
>https://bfi.uchicago.edu/working-paper/civil-response-to-government-alerts-declines-during-russian-invasion-of-ukraine/
>
>
>Air Alert Ukraine
>
>Combined with high frequency gps pings from 17 mil phones--60% of the wired population in Ukraine--we can study whether the public responds to govt alerts using 3000+ event studies.
>
>The response is quick and large, suggesting the public evades harm by moving to shelter post-alert.
>
>
>But this overall effect masks significant attenuation over time... as the war continues, the public becomes less responsive to alerts.
>
>
>Research paper: 8-15% of civilian casualties could have been avoided.
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Barry Mishkind - Tucson, AZ - 520-296-3797