[sbe-eas] NWS forgetting the lessons of Hurricane Harvey (Houston 2017)
Sean Donelan
sean at donelan.com
Wed Oct 9 18:04:19 EDT 2024
I'm not certain how NWS will distinguish hurricane damage from tornado
damage later. That was one of the findings from Harvey, overlapping
hurricane and tornado warnings wasn't giving the public actionable
warning information.
"Creeping" warnings appears to be the cause for multiple alerts for one
hurricane caused tornado. Re-issuing overlapping alert areas, moving
forward a few miles each time.
Warnings for unique or unexpected major tornados or other events make
sense. A few of the reports show major tornados without hurricane force
winds. But NWS meterologists seem to get stuck in the "issue as many
distinct warnings as possible."
The problem is 50+ alerts for < 10 apparent significant (>EF2) tornadoes
in a hurricane warning area.
On Wed, 9 Oct 2024, Rob Dale wrote:
> I think this is slightly different given the transitive nature of the warnings.
>
> It’s not like Harvey when it was the same area repeatedly with no tornadoes.
>
> These have been some BIG tornadoes.
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